Conflict Observatory & Prediction (COP) Group/Lab conducts scientific research in conflictological studies; the causes, and their occurrence, mechanisms, forecasting of conflict & wars, polemology (war studies), modeling of conflict and resolution scenarios, and patterns of conflict development/evolution.
We study both international and non-international conflicts (NIAC). Our lab comprises scholars, researchers, scientists, political scientists, and international relations researchers committed to addressing the challenges of conflict using distinct methodological approaches to analytical performance (quantitative) and integrative qualitative analytics.
What We Study?
In our Conflictology group/lab, we are interested in studying closeness centrality between individuals, groups or states and how this process leads to evolution of conflict and/or resolution thereof. We believe conflict evolves through salient structures such as markets and pastoral transhumance spaces. We therefore, study space and networks in intertribal border markets as factories of conflict and infrastructure for peace. How is conflict produced in intergroup interaction or within those networks in space and time? How does space between individuals, groups or states influence prevalence of conflict? How does distance and social geometry influence conflict formation? How are conflict vibes and triggers distributed in space and time? How does individuals, groups or state’s spatial representation affect conflict evolution, resolution and transformation? Our approach is conflictological- progressing from states to the underlying interaction between individuals and within groups in space and time.